ISSN (print) - 0131-7652

ISSN (online) - 2686-7605

Vol. 50 No. 10 (2020)
ECOLOGY AND ECONOMY

The Impact of Promoting Electric Cars on Oil Consumption

PDF (Русский)
  • M. Sinicyn
M. Sinicyn
Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences,
DOI: https://doi.org/10.30680/ECO0131-7652-2020-10-65-87

Published 2020-10-02

Keywords

  • low-carbon paradigm,
  • electric cars,
  • automobiles,
  • forecast,
  • oil demand,
  • USA,
  • China,
  • EU
    • ...More
    Less

How to Cite

1.
Sinicyn М. The Impact of Promoting Electric Cars on Oil Consumption. ECO [Internet]. 2020 Oct. 2 [cited 2024 Dec. 21];50(10):65-87. Available from: https://ecotrends.ru/index.php/eco/article/view/4128

Abstract

Electric cars will become comparable with traditional cars around 2025–2030, and will quickly begin to supplant the latter in developed and largest developing countries. The paper assesses the prospects for promoting electric vehicles in the USA, China, Europe and the world as well as the impact of this process on oil consumption. It is shown that by 2040 electric vehicles can make up 19% of the global passenger car stock and displace 4,7 mbd, mainly in the key export markets for Russian oil companies – Europe and China.
PDF (Русский)

References

  2. Жуков С., Золина С., Копытин И., Масленников А., Синицын М. Налог на выбросы парниковых газов и перспективы нефтедобычи в Канаде // ЭКО. 2018. № 11. С. 133–147. DOI: 10.30680/ECO0131–7652–2018–11–133–147 Zhukov, S., Zolina, S., Kopytin, I., Maslennikov, A., Sinitsyn, M. (2018). Carbon tax and perspectives of oil production in Canada. ECO. No. 11. P. 133–147. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.30680/ECO0131–7652–2018–11–133–147
  3. Синицын М. Ценовая конкурентоспособность легковых электромобилей в США // Инновации и инвестиции. 2019. № 7. С. 74–80.
  4. Sinitsyn, M. (2019). Price Competitiveness of the Electric Vehicles in the United States. Innovation and Investment. No. 7. P. 74–80. (In Russ.).
  5. Cloete, S. How much subsidy do EVs need to be competitive? Energy Post, 07.04.2020 Available at: https://energypost.eu/how-much-subsidy-do-evs-need-to-be-competitive (accessed 25.05.2020).
  6. Daina, N., Sivakumar, A., Polak J. (2017). Modelling electric vehicles use: a survey on the methods // Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. No. 68. Pp. 447–460.
  7. Figenbaum, E., Kolbenstvedt, M. (2016). Learning from Norwegian Battery Electric and Plug-in Hybrid Vehicle users – Results from a survey of vehicle owners. Oslo, Institute of Transport Economics.
  8. Lutsey, N., Nicholas, M. (2019).Update on electric vehicle costs in the United States through 2030. International Council on Clean Transportation
  9. Plötz, P., Sprei, F., Gnann, T. (2017). What are the effects of incentives on plugin electric vehicle sales in Europe? Available at: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Till_Gnann/publication/318209508_What_are_the_effects_of_incentives_on_plug-in_electric_vehicle_sales_in_Europe/links/595cccd4a6fdcc86232995f7/What-are-the-effects-of-incentives-on-plug-in-electric-vehicle-sales-in-Europe.pdf?origin=publication_detail (accessed 25.05.2020).
  10. Zhao, X., Doering, O., Tyner, W. (2015). The economic competitiveness and emissions of battery electric vehicles in China. Applied Energy. No.156. Pp. 66–675. DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.07.063