Vol. 53 No. 8 (2023)
ECOLOGY AND ECONOMY

Climate Change, Rural Areas and Agriculture in Siberia: Foresight Projection

M.S. Petukhova
Novosibirsk State Agrarian University
M.V. Kondratyev
Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering SB RAS; Novosibirsk State Agrarian University

Published 2023-07-31

Keywords

  • rural areas; climate change; agriculture; global warming; Siberia; agro-climatic conditions; crop production; livestock husbandry; greenhouse effect

How to Cite

1.
Petukhova М, Kondratyev М. Climate Change, Rural Areas and Agriculture in Siberia: Foresight Projection. ECO [Internet]. 2023 Jul. 31 [cited 2024 Nov. 23];53(8):155-71. Available from: https://ecotrends.ru/index.php/eco/article/view/4646

Abstract

Based on a review of current climatic and economic studies, as well as the authors’ forecast using Rapid Foresight methodology, the paper shows the main problems in the development of agriculture and rural areas of the Siberian Federal District caused by the intensification of climate change. The growth of average annual temperature and precipitation observed in the Siberian regions may lead to an improvement in agricultural productivity of certain territories, and have a positive impact on the quality of soil resources, which will be a prerequisite for expanding the zone of human economic activity in the northern latitudes and creating new rural settlements. At the same time, climatic changes become an indirect cause of a multiple increase in the number of natural emergencies. The current situation requires prompt measures to give agriculture the status of a climate-responsible industry, as well as to adjust the strategies of long-term development of Siberian regions.

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