Vol. 52 No. 6 (2022)
FINANCIAL ECONOMY

The Russian Stock Market in 2015–2020: Volatility and Market Returns

T.N. Polyakova
Omsk State University named after F. M. Dostoevsky, Omsk

Published 2022-05-27

Keywords

  • stock market; volatility; market returns; stock indices; Moscow Exchange; oil market; coronavirus pandemic

How to Cite

1.
Polyakova Т. The Russian Stock Market in 2015–2020: Volatility and Market Returns. ECO [Internet]. 2022 May 27 [cited 2024 Nov. 21];52(6):178-92. Available from: https://ecotrends.ru/index.php/eco/article/view/4455

Abstract

The paper presents a statistical analysis of the volatility and market returns of the Russian stock market from 2015 to 2020 in the context of the influence of internal and external factors and inter-market interaction. The effects of the coronavirus pandemic on stock markets and the global crude oil market are considered. The periods of risk exposure and falling market returns of the Russian stock market are indicated. The author concludes that in general for most of the annual segments, investors had a positive attitude to the Russian stock market, as evidenced by the insignificant level of volatility and positive market returns.

References

  1. Богучарсков А. В. Анализ характера причинно-следственной связи между динамикой цен на нефть и индексом РТС // Финансы и кредит. 2017. № 17 (737). С. 1003–1014.
  2. Ильясов Р. Х., Куразова Д. А. Анализ динамики индикаторов российского фондового рынка // Известия Санкт-Петербургского государственного экономического университета. 2016. № 4 (100). С. 97–104.
  3. Малкина М. Ю., Барабашина Ю. С. Взаимосвязь ставки рефинансирования, денежной массы и инфляции в российской экономике // Труды НГТУ им. Р. Е. Алексеева. 2011. № 3 (90). С. 274–280.
  4. Михайлов А.Ю., Бураков Д. В., Диденко В. Ю. Взаимосвязь цен на нефть и макроэкономических показателей в России // Финансы: теория и практика. 2019. Т. 23. № 2. С. 106–116. DOI: https://doi.org/10.26794/2587–5671–2019–23–2–105–116.
  5. Полякова Т. Н. Российский рынок акций: динамика и состояние // Национальные интересы: приоритеты и безопасность. 2016. № 3. С. 93–106.
  6. Baker S. R., Bloom N., Davis S. J., Kost K., Sammon M., Viratyosin T. The Unprecedented Stock Market Reaction to COVID-19 // The Review of Asset Pricing Studies. 2020. Vol. 10. No. 4. Pp. 742–758.
  7. Bourghelle D., Jawadi F., Rozin P. Oil price volatility in the context of COVID-19 // International Economics. 2021. No. 167. Pp. 39–49.
  8. Chen H.-C., Yeh C.-W. Global financial crisis and COVID-19: Industrial reactions // Finance Research Letters. 2021. No. 42. 101940. Pp. 1–13.
  9. Contessi S., De Pace P. The international spread of COVID-19 stock market collapses // Finance Research Letters. 2021. No. 42. 101894. Pp. 1–11.
  10. Davidovic M.. From pandemic to financial contagion: High-frequency risk metrics and Bayesian volatility analysis // Finance Research Letters. 2021. No. 42. 101913. Pp. 1–11.